Diana Choyleva: mna waqala covering China kwi
Ngomhla wokuqala, hayi abantu abaninzi ihlawulwe ingqalelo nezoqoqosho mmangaliso emva China abaziwayo-World Trade Umbutho (WTO)Ngoko wonke umntu wayecinga loqoqosho mmangaliso ingaba yiya kwi ngonaphakade. Emva koko kwi-mid-s, abantu abaninzi wayecinga ukuba i-Isitshayina indlela ingaba nigeria ngokupheleleyo. Ke akazange Diana Choyleva ngu ezahluka-hlukileyo. I-Endow Ezoqoqosho eyintloko umhloli kwaye yangaphambili intloko uphando ngalo Lombard Street Uphando wenziwe covering China ukususela ebutsheni s phambi uninzi abaphononongi eqale ukuba ahlawule ezinzima ingqalelo. Ukususela ngoko yena sele kwaxelwayo abaninzi kakhulu ukuguqula amanqaku ukumisela elimfiliba ye-Isitshayina kuqoqosho. Kule enze udliwano-ndlebe kunye ixesha elithile ezimbalini phinda-Phinda, Nkosk.
Choyleva izahlulo yakhe insights kwi njani ngokuchanekileyo nokuchaza i Isitshayina uqoqosho njani oko impacts bubonke ihlabathi.
Ndicinga ukuba ifumene umsebenzi ngenxa mna wakhulela kwelinye communist lizwe, Ebulgaria. Ngokuthi emva kwexesha ndenza umnxeba ukuba izakuba iqhosha umqhubi into waba ke kwenzeka, ngenxa elahlukileyo uhlobo emaphandleni ngokokuba kufutshane kwayo bubonke ihlabathi ukuba boded kakuhle kakhulu kuba imveliso kumazwe angaphandle kweli. Ukuba ufuna nje sat kwi ukuba indlela yokujongana nemveliso ukuxhasa umnxeba esilandelayo iminyaka elishumi, ubuya kuba wenza kakhulu imali. Kwaye mna onayo i-ukalisho lwexesha ukuba ibali iphelisa ilungelo ngokunjalo ngo.
Kuba abatyali-mali, catching ezi uhlobo ukuguqula amanqaku ibonelela kakhulu phezulu.
Nje emva kokuba mna waqala covering kweli lizwe, China bazimanya WTO kwi.
Kodwa waqhubeka ukuba ulawulo ixabiso eyinkunzi ngokunjalo umbane, kwaye kokuba masses ka-cheap kusebenza. Ngoko ke, kwaba lula ukubona ukuba baba ke inzuzo angaphandle share njenge andwebileyo. Kanjalo, ngu semi-umyalelo kuqoqosho, kwaye Beirut waba locwangciso ekusebenziseni i-China ke domestic savings ukuba industrialize kweli lizwe. Baya kusetyenziswa kumazwe angaphandle ingeniso ukwakha, ukwakha, ukwakha. Kwaye China waba bavuke abachatshazelwa Kwiwebhusayithi bust kwi-Ntshona. Nkosk. Choyleva: U.S China budlelwane waba zange a umtshato ka-ukunceda njengoko abanye baba esithi ngelo xesha. I-United States wanikela ingxelo ekuthetheni ne-WTO yokungena kwi isiseko China ekuguquleni kwi kwimakethi kuqoqosho.
Kwaye ngoko China bafudukela kulo uninvited yi-ukugcina yayo okwangoku pegged kwaye hayi liberalizing yayo kwiimarike ngokukhawuleza ngokwaneleyo.
Kodwa ke, uzole egciniweyo kakhulu, ngoko ke kokuba impahla kumazwe angaphandle kweli zabo savings, ukuthenga Treasuries, ukugcina zabo okwangoku iityuwadefault colour ngokuchasene dollar. Abaqhubi umfanekiso ka-kutheni Isitshayina babezimisele kwenza ukuba kokuba akukho nto kwenza free kwamanye amazwe, ngoko ke Fed ayikwazi ukwenza kakhulu abancinane ukumisa influx ka-cheap imali. Ngoko ke ndajika ukusuka bullish ukuba bearish kwaye wayecinga ukuba ezi enkulu yehlabathi imbalances ingaba kukhokelela a-mali bunzima, njengoko ndabhala kwi ncwadi, mna co-authored ngowe,"Oyilwayo kwi-China-Shop."Mna reasoned ukuba ngexesha abanye incopho nako ka-United States ukuboleka kwaye ukuchitha ingaba get exhausted, nto leyo into eyenzekileyo. I-global-mali mbhodamo ke pulled i-rug ukusuka engaphantsi-China ke imodeli ka-uphuhliso nge-ezithunyelwa kumazwe angaphandle kunye wasteful-mali. Choyleva: Isitshayina regime threw imali kwi-uqoqosho kodwa ixesha olomeleleyo ukukhula ukuba abalandela ngasinye emaphandleni onayo shorter kwaye shorter. Kokuba a stimulus ngo, ke xa wokunyuka kwamaxabiso weza phezulu, kokuba ukuba, qinisa.
Ngoko ukukhula halved ngo- ngokokuba kufutshane kwayo oko kwaba phambi bunzima.
Kwaye oku emaphandleni iphindwe amaxesha ambalwa ukusukela ngoko. I-stimulus ngo- ekhutshwe nje omnye kwikota olomeleleyo ukukhula. Kwaye ngoku uqoqosho ke trend ukukhula zenza isihlanu ipesenti ubuninzi kwi-real mimiselo. Hayi kuphela yaba yehlabathi urhwebo pie hayi lokukhula ngexesha elidlulileyo yokutshintsha. Kodwa yi- China ke nako omawuqingqwe ngaphandle ephakamileyo abathengi onayo kakhulu benyanzelekile. Yabo umvuzo ehambe phezulu, kwaye exchange umyinge waba overvalued, ngoko ke China waba kakhulu ngaphantsi competitive. Ingeniso evela kumazwe angaphandle disappeared, kwaye ngoko ke, ngakumbi abo babefuna ukuba phoselani imali kwi unproductive investments, ngokukhawuleza zabo ityala kwi-GDP waqala ukwandisa. Kwaye urhwebo-ngaphandle phakathi zokukhula wokunyuka kwamaxabiso deteriorated.
Ngo- mna commented kwi-China ibali lam incwadi"i-american Phoenix."Ngelo xesha ukuba wena khumbula, konke kwaba malunga njani China ngu ngokwenza njalo kakhulu ngcono, ngexesha Emelika ke uqoqosho ngu kwi-doldrums.
Wam uhlalutyo wathi ukuba China ingaba surprise kwi downside kwaye Emelika kwi phezulu.
Bonke negativity waba kwi Emelika
Kwaye ukuba ubeke imali yakho kwi-U.S. equities ngelo xesha ngokokuba kufutshane kwayo nantoni na enye into ubuya kuba abasweleka ngayo. Abantu abaninzi bacinga kum a-China ubungqina. Ukuba ke, ngenxa yokuba kuqaliswe ukubhatala ingqalelo jikelele xa yam nabo kwaye mna waqala ukuqulunqa unye ukuba excessive Isitshayina savings ezaye ingxaki. Noko ke, ngowama- xa wonke umntu waba worried malunga ityala kwi-China, mna argued ukuba China engafikanga ufikelele end of the road kwangoku. Uyakwazi ekuvumeleni ingxaki, kodwa ukwanalo ukufumana ilungelo ukubamba ixesha ngokunjalo ukuba gauge i-zoko kuba asethi amaxabiso. Choyleva: ngoko ke, elandelayo iqonga le komxholo othi ingaba fracture ka-globalization. Akukho ndlela yehlabathi loqoqosho ezopolitiko ukuze unako ukuhlala njengoko kunjalo. Sisebenzisa uyise kwindawo entsha zedijithali yingqele imfazwe kwaye bipolar ihlabathi kwesinye isandla China kwaye kwesinye isandla-United States.
Nangona ukungenela i-WTO, China zange waba ngokupheleleyo-fledged kwimakethi uqoqosho apho Americans elindelekileyo.
Kwimakethi imikhosi waqala ukudlala sibe linani elikhulu indima kwezinye domestic kwamanye amazwe, kodwa Beirut uyaqhuba ukugcina imali kwi-akhawunti ezivaliweyo kwaye umisela ixabiso eyinkunzi kunye malunga exchange umyinge nelindle inzala yokutshintsha. Ngoko ke, ihlala a semi-umyalelo uqoqosho kwaye uzama ukubeka nge yentengiso olungenangxaki ye-West, ingakumbi i-United States, alifumanisanga isebenza.
Ukuba uyayijonga ihlabathi kwi-yokugqibela - eminyaka, enkulu inani abantu baba pulled ngaphandle indlala kunye phezulu ingeniso ladder.
Kodwa sonke kuba zethu nationalities, kwaye thina ixabiso zethu sovereignty kwaye siphuhlisa olungenangxaki ezi zimvo ingaba kakhulu stronger. Kwaye ngexesha abo - iminyaka abo bantu abo benefited babebaninzi China nezinye ezivelayo olungenangxaki, kwaye nkqu apho, baba concentrated kwi-ezimbalwa pockets. Kwesinye isandla, enkulu bala ye-electorate Entshona Ihlabathi waziva washiya ngasemva. Hayi kwi-absolute mimiselo, kodwa ngendlela ehambelanayo mimiselo. Emva global-mali bunzima, ndathola enye into engalunganga. Mna kulindeleke protectionism ukuba abe kwi kuvuka kodwa kukho i-ukubamba ixesha ezingachanekanga, njengoko kunjalo ekugqibeleni eyenzekayo ngoku emva iminyaka elishumi. Mna ke naïve ukuba ulindele ukuba eyona nto tshintsha lwehlabathi isimo nemeko yelo xesha izakuba kunokwenzeka ngaphandle ezopolitiko tshintsha kuqala. Ngoku, nangona kunjalo, kukho kakhulu kwezopolitiko ngokwesiqu kunye unyulo lukamongameli ixilongo layo kwaye Brexit kwaye ezopolitiko okwenzeke Aseyurophu ukuba kukhokelela de-globalized ihlabathi. Choyleva: ndicela wam abaxhasi lo mbuzo, kwaye baphendula ukuba ndine eyodwa i-engile kwi-China ngenxa mna wazalwa ngowe-a communist lizwe kwaye mna waphila nge-bam formative kwiminyaka a communist regime, Ebulgaria. Ngoko ke, ndiya kuba i-innate ukuqonda indlela le-central ucwangciso lwendlela imisebenzi. Ke mna ke lucky ukushiya Entshonalanga kwaye get educated yi-ezinye eyona iingqondo kwi-uqoqosho lwezolimo kwi-Ntshona. Oku elinye yelenqe kuba ukuqonda njani ihlabathi ke, oyena communist uqoqosho lwehlabathi ke, oyena kwimakethi uqoqosho imisebenzi ezisebenza. Yona ikunceda ukuba andinguye Isitshayina noba, ngoko ke ndim ngenene elizimeleyo wesizwe ikratshi kwaye ukususela tentacles ye-Communist umntu. Nceda wenze encinane igalelo ixesha elithile ezimbalini phinda-Phinda kwaye uza kuba usenza yenza umahluko omkhulu. I-ixesha elithile ezimbalini Umphinda-phinde ngo uzinikele truthful, unoxanduva journalism. Siya kugubungela ebalulekileyo iindaba ezinye media. Meko kwi-incopho: similiselwe ngomhla forefront lokwenza ingxelo kwi dibanisa utshintsho lethu kukuba nibona nje, ezifana imbali-france uqoqosho imbali low-ngqesho, ngexesha kanjalo exposing socialist impembelelo kwi-America. Bethu, Umhleli oyintloko Jasper Faker ibongoza ukuba inkxaso yethu elizimeleyo eendaba. Wonke igalelo, mkhulu okanye mncinane, counts. Sincede gcina piercing ngapha umphezulu narratives kwezinye media kwaye kunizisa elizeleyo umfanekiso yintoni ngokwenene eyenzekayo wethu ehlabathini. Makhe ukuhamba oku indlela kunye. Nceda nikela namhlanje.
